Drew Dober vs Sean Spencer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
29-15-0Record12-7-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height5'10"
70″Reach75,0"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Drew Dober is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Sean Spencer carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1685
If they win+21→ 1602
If they lose-11→ 1570
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Drew DoberSean Spencer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Drew Dober68%
Sean Spencer 32%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 68% favorite over Sean Spencer in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Drew Dober holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1701 to 1581, a 120-point edge.
Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Sean Spencer enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Sean Spencer 33%.
Sean Spencer carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.