Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Dober vs Vitor Ribeiro

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

29-15-0Record20-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
70″ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Elevation Fight TeamTeamNova Uniao

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew DoberNow 1701
If they win+12→ 1713
If they lose-12→ 1689
Vitor RibeiroNow 1703
If they win+12→ 1715
If they lose-12→ 1691

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1656 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
41%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.34
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
53%
Strike defense
TBD
0.63
Takedown avg.
TBD
17%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
58%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.07
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Drew DoberVitor Ribeiro
1700175020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

17 (59%)
KO/TKO
3 (15%)
5 (17%)
Submission
11 (55%)
7 (24%)
Decision
6 (30%)

Combat Edge model read

Drew Dober70%
Vitor Ribeiro 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Drew Dober a 70% favorite over Vitor Ribeiro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Vitor Ribeiro's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1701 vs 1703), separated by just 2 points.

Drew Dober enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Vitor Ribeiro enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Drew Dober finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Vitor Ribeiro 70%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.