Drew Fickett vs Greg Soto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team ScrubTeamPellegrino MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545
If they win+16→ 1573
If they lose-16→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettGreg Soto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Greg Soto70%
Drew Fickett 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Greg Soto a 70% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Fickett's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1557), separated by just 0 points.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Greg Soto enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Greg Soto 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.