Drew Fickett vs Jared Rollins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record8-4-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team ScrubTeamTeam Oyama· 1643 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1568
If they lose-12→ 1544
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettJared Rollins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Drew Fickett70%
Jared Rollins 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Drew Fickett a 70% favorite over Jared Rollins in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1556 vs 1555), separated by just 1 points.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jared Rollins 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.