Drew Fickett vs Jonathan Goulet
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record23-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight169 lbs
Team ScrubTeamTeam Legion
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545
If they win+12→ 1565
If they lose-12→ 1541
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettJonathan Goulet
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jonathan Goulet62%
Drew Fickett 38%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Jonathan Goulet a 62% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Fickett's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1553), separated by just 4 points.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Goulet 87%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.