Drew Fickett vs Josh Koscheck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record17-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
151 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team ScrubTeamDethrone Base Camp
What's at stake
Josh Koscheck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Drew Fickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1584
If they lose-9→ 1560
If they win+9→ 1653
If they lose-15→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettJosh Koscheck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Koscheck66%
Drew Fickett 34%Elo baseline: 61%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Koscheck a 66% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (61%).
Josh Koscheck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1569, a 75-point edge.
Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.