Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Fickett vs Karo Parisyan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Drew Fickett
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Drew Fickett

“Night Rider”

43-22-0LightweightSFP

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

43-22-0Record24-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight169 lbs

What's at stake

Karo Parisyan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Drew Fickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew FickettNow 1557
If they win+13→ 1570
If they lose-11→ 1546
Karo ParisyanNow 1576
If they win+11→ 1587
If they lose-13→ 1563

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.45
Sig. strikes / min
2.49
42%
Strike accuracy
41%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.19
57%
Strike defense
58%
1.42
Takedown avg.
5.27
38%
Takedown accuracy
60%
31%
Takedown defense
60%
1.90
Submission avg.
0.99

Trajectory

Drew FickettKaro Parisyan
1550160020182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (9%)
KO/TKO
3 (13%)
31 (72%)
Submission
11 (46%)
8 (19%)
Decision
10 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Karo Parisyan70%
Drew Fickett 30%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Karo Parisyan a 70% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Karo Parisyan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1576 to 1557, a 19-point edge.

Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Karo Parisyan 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.