Drew Fickett vs Luke Stewart
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record6-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team ScrubTeamRalph Gracie Jiu-Jitsu
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545
If they win+24→ 1580
If they lose-24→ 1532
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettLuke Stewart
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luke Stewart60%
Drew Fickett 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luke Stewart a 60% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Fickett's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1556), separated by just 1 points.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luke Stewart enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Luke Stewart 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.