Drew Fickett vs Nick Diaz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record26-10-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach76"
151 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Nick Diaz is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Drew Fickett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1574
If they lose-6→ 1550
If they win+6→ 1772
If they lose-18→ 1748
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1719 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettNick Diaz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nick Diaz82%
Drew Fickett 18%Elo baseline: 77%
The Combat Edge model makes Nick Diaz a 82% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).
Nick Diaz holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1766 to 1556, a 210-point edge.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nick Diaz enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Nick Diaz 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.