Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew Fickett vs Rodrigo Goiana de Lima

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Drew Fickett
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Drew Fickett

“Night Rider”

43-22-0LightweightSFP

1557Solid

Tale of the tape

43-22-0Record9-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team ScrubTeamCoalizao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew FickettNow 1557
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545
Rodrigo Goiana de LimaNow 1555
If they win+24→ 1579
If they lose-24→ 1531

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1527 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.45
Sig. strikes / min
1.29
42%
Strike accuracy
34%
2.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.50
57%
Strike defense
33%
1.42
Takedown avg.
2.66
38%
Takedown accuracy
36%
31%
Takedown defense
0%
1.90
Submission avg.
1.33

Trajectory

Drew FickettRodrigo Goiana de Lima
155016002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (9%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
31 (72%)
Submission
7 (78%)
8 (19%)
Decision
2 (22%)

Combat Edge model read

Rodrigo Goiana de Lima70%
Drew Fickett 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Rodrigo Goiana de Lima a 70% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Fickett's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1555), separated by just 2 points.

Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Rodrigo Goiana de Lima 78%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.