Drew Fickett vs Seth Baczynski
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
43-22-0Record21-16-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'3"
TBDReachTBD
151 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1569
If they lose-12→ 1545
If they win+12→ 1566
If they lose-12→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1588 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Drew FickettSeth Baczynski
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Seth Baczynski60%
Drew Fickett 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Seth Baczynski a 60% favorite over Drew Fickett in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Drew Fickett's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1557 vs 1554), separated by just 3 points.
Drew Fickett enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Seth Baczynski enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Drew Fickett finishes 81% of wins inside the distance, Seth Baczynski 90%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.