Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Herman Terrado

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record15-7-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach69"
185 lbsWeight179 lbs
Champions GymTeamUndisputed Downtown

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Herman TerradoNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
51%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
1.42
Takedown avg.
TBD
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.71
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesHerman Terrado
1550160020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (40%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Herman Terrado56%
Drew McFedries 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Herman Terrado a 56% favorite over Drew McFedries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1589), separated by just 3 points.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Herman Terrado enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Herman Terrado 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.