Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Jordan Radev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record23-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Champions GymTeamSportcentrum KOPS

What's at stake

Jordan Radev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Drew McFedries carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+22→ 1608
If they lose-10→ 1576
Jordan RadevNow 1726
If they win+7→ 1733
If they lose-17→ 1709

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
1.35
51%
Strike accuracy
23%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.38
52%
Strike defense
66%
1.42
Takedown avg.
0
100%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
56%
Takedown defense
80%
0.71
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesJordan Radev
155016001650170017502009201020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
5 (23%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (23%)
1 (8%)
Decision
12 (55%)

Combat Edge model read

Jordan Radev75%
Drew McFedries 25%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Jordan Radev a 75% favorite over Drew McFedries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Jordan Radev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1726 to 1586, a 140-point edge.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Jordan Radev 45%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.