Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Martin Kampmann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record20-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Champions GymTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Martin Kampmann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Drew McFedries carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+18→ 1604
If they lose-14→ 1572
Martin KampmannNow 1634
If they win+14→ 1648
If they lose-18→ 1616

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1717 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
51%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.28
52%
Strike defense
62%
1.42
Takedown avg.
1.86
100%
Takedown accuracy
41%
56%
Takedown defense
78%
0.71
Submission avg.
2.05

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesMartin Kampmann
15501600165020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
9 (47%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (32%)
1 (8%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Martin Kampmann72%
Drew McFedries 28%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Martin Kampmann a 72% favorite over Drew McFedries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Martin Kampmann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1586, a 48-point edge.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Martin Kampmann enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Martin Kampmann 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.