Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Mike Massenzio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record13-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champions GymTeamTeam Bombsquad

What's at stake

Drew McFedries is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Mike Massenzio carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+13→ 1599
If they lose-19→ 1567
Mike MassenzioNow 1529
If they win+19→ 1548
If they lose-13→ 1516

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
51%
Strike accuracy
45%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.59
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.42
Takedown avg.
2.74
100%
Takedown accuracy
24%
56%
Takedown defense
50%
0.71
Submission avg.
1.37

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesMike Massenzio
15501600165020112012201320142015

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (46%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Drew McFedries60%
Mike Massenzio 40%Elo baseline: 58%

The Combat Edge model makes Drew McFedries a 60% favorite over Mike Massenzio in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).

Drew McFedries holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1586 to 1529, a 57-point edge.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mike Massenzio enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Mike Massenzio 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.