Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Patrick Cote

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Patrick Cote
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Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record23-11-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach75"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Champions GymTeamBTT Canada

What's at stake

Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Drew McFedries carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+22→ 1608
If they lose-10→ 1576
Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+7→ 1735
If they lose-17→ 1711

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
51%
Strike accuracy
48%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
52%
Strike defense
49%
1.42
Takedown avg.
0.68
100%
Takedown accuracy
21%
56%
Takedown defense
44%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesPatrick Cote
155016001650170017502014201520162017

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
0 (0%)
Submission
3 (14%)
1 (8%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Cote83%
Drew McFedries 17%Elo baseline: 69%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 83% favorite over Drew McFedries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).

Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1586, a 142-point edge.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.