Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Tafon Nchukwi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record7-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach77"
185 lbsWeight190 lbs
Champions GymTeamTeam Lloyd Irvin

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+16→ 1602
If they lose-16→ 1570
Tafon NchukwiNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1619 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
5.57
51%
Strike accuracy
53%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.11
52%
Strike defense
54%
1.42
Takedown avg.
0.76
100%
Takedown accuracy
57%
56%
Takedown defense
65%
0.71
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesTafon Nchukwi
15501600165020142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Drew McFedries and Tafon Nchukwi within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1588), separated by just 2 points.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tafon Nchukwi 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.