Combat Edge Intelligence

Drew McFedries vs Tomasz Drwal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record22-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Champions GymTeamSzkola Walki Drwala

What's at stake

Tomasz Drwal is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Drew McFedries carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Drew McFedriesNow 1586
If they win+17→ 1603
If they lose-15→ 1571
Tomasz DrwalNow 1615
If they win+11→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1576 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.13
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
51%
Strike accuracy
38%
4.56
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
52%
Strike defense
57%
1.42
Takedown avg.
3.55
100%
Takedown accuracy
60%
56%
Takedown defense
82%
0.71
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Drew McFedriesTomasz Drwal
1550160016502014201520162017201820192020

Win method breakdown

11 (92%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (23%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Tomasz Drwal60%
Drew McFedries 40%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Tomasz Drwal a 60% favorite over Drew McFedries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Tomasz Drwal holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1586, a 29-point edge.

Drew McFedries enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Drew McFedries finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Tomasz Drwal 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.