Dricus Du Plessis vs Johnny Eblen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record18-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76″Reach74"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Johnny Eblen carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1864
If they lose-13→ 1840
If they win+18→ 1830
If they lose-14→ 1798
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1718 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dricus Du PlessisJohnny Eblen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis60%
Johnny Eblen 40%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 60% favorite over Johnny Eblen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1812, a 41-point edge.
Johnny Eblen enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Johnny Eblen 50%.
Dricus Du Plessis carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.