Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76″Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team CIT· 1723 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Khamzat Chimaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1873
If they lose-13→ 1849
If they win+18→ 1846
If they lose-14→ 1814
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1751 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dricus Du PlessisKhamzat Chimaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis51%
Khamzat Chimaev 49%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 51% favorite over Khamzat Chimaev in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1862 to 1828, a 34-point edge.
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.
Dricus Du Plessis and Khamzat Chimaev share 3 common opponents: Kamaru Usman, Sean Strickland and Robert Whittaker.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.