Combat Edge Intelligence

Dricus Du Plessis vs Khamzat Chimaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-3-0Record15-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
76″Reach75"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAllstars Training Center· 1678 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Khamzat Chimaev carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dricus Du PlessisNow 1853
If they win+11→ 1864
If they lose-13→ 1840
Khamzat ChimaevNow 1827
If they win+17→ 1844
If they lose-15→ 1812

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1750 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.18
Sig. strikes / min
4.01
49%
Strike accuracy
54%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.98
53%
Strike defense
52%
2.22
Takedown avg.
5.32
5%
Takedown accuracy
58%
35%
Takedown defense
88%
0.71
Submission avg.
1.37

Trajectory

Dricus Du PlessisKhamzat Chimaev
18001850202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (38%)
KO/TKO
6 (40%)
11 (46%)
Submission
6 (40%)
4 (17%)
Decision
3 (20%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dricus Du Plessis and Khamzat Chimaev within a point of even.

Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1827, a 26-point edge.

Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Khamzat Chimaev 80%.

Dricus Du Plessis and Khamzat Chimaev share 3 common opponents: Kamaru Usman, Sean Strickland and Robert Whittaker.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (3)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
WinDecision - Split · 2024
Sean Strickland
LossDecision (Split) · 2026
WinKO/TKO · 2023
Robert Whittaker
WinSubmission · 2024
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2026
Kamaru Usman
WinDECISION - MAJORITY · 2023