AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Dricus Du Plessis vs Michael Page

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

24-3-0Record26-3-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'3"
76″Reach79"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team CIT· 1723 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamLondon Shootfighters

What's at stake

Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Michael Page carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dricus Du PlessisNow 1862
If they win+11→ 1873
If they lose-13→ 1849
Michael PageNow 1836
If they win+13→ 1849
If they lose-11→ 1825

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1720 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.18
Sig. strikes / min
2.28
49%
Strike accuracy
58%
4.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.51
53%
Strike defense
62%
2.22
Takedown avg.
0.19
5%
Takedown accuracy
0%
35%
Takedown defense
70%
0.71
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dricus Du PlessisMichael Page
1800185020252026

Win method breakdown

9 (38%)
KO/TKO
13 (50%)
11 (46%)
Submission
3 (12%)
4 (17%)
Decision
10 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Dricus Du Plessis68%
Michael Page 32%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 68% favorite over Michael Page in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1862 to 1836, a 26-point edge.

Michael Page enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Michael Page 62%.

Michael Page carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.