Dricus Du Plessis vs Robert Whittaker
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-3-0Record26-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76″Reach73"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
Team CITTeamPMA Super Martial Arts
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Robert Whittaker carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1851
If they lose-15→ 1827
If they win+15→ 1754
If they lose-9→ 1730
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1763 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1755 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dricus Du PlessisRobert Whittaker
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis79%
Robert Whittaker 21%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 79% favorite over Robert Whittaker in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1842 to 1739, a 103-point edge.
Robert Whittaker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 87% of wins inside the distance, Robert Whittaker 58%.
Dricus Du Plessis and Robert Whittaker share 3 common opponents: Khamzat Chimaev, Israel Adesanya and Darren Till.
Dricus Du Plessis carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.