Dricus Du Plessis vs Sean Strickland
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-3-0Record31-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
76″Reach76"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team CIT· 1712 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamXtreme Couture
What's at stake
Dricus Du Plessis is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sean Strickland carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1864
If they lose-13→ 1840
If they win+13→ 1836
If they lose-11→ 1812
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1779 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1741 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dricus Du PlessisSean Strickland
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dricus Du Plessis61%
Sean Strickland 39%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Dricus Du Plessis a 61% favorite over Sean Strickland in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Dricus Du Plessis holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1853 to 1823, a 30-point edge.
Sean Strickland enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dricus Du Plessis finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Sean Strickland 52%.
Dricus Du Plessis and Sean Strickland share 2 common opponents: Khamzat Chimaev and Israel Adesanya.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.