Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs José Medina

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

13-6-0Record11-7-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'0"
74"Reach74″
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamPhuket Fight Club

What's at stake

Duško Todorović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — José Medina carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duško TodorovićNow 1621
If they win+12→ 1633
If they lose-20→ 1601
José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+20→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1524

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1639 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1561 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.16
58%
Strike accuracy
37%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.07
48%
Strike defense
47%
1.77
Takedown avg.
0.40
21%
Takedown accuracy
33%
43%
Takedown defense
28%
0.35
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićJosé Medina
1550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (18%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović70%
José Medina 30%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 70% favorite over José Medina in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Duško Todorović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1621 to 1536, a 85-point edge.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, José Medina 91%.

Duško Todorović and José Medina share 1 common opponent: Zach Reese.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision (unanimous) · 2025
Zach Reese
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2024