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Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Raul Castillo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record7-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height5'10"
74"ReachUnknown
185 lbsWeight185 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Raul CastilloNow 1601
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-24→ 1577

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1641 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1505 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
58%
Strike accuracy
Not available
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
48%
Strike defense
Not available
1.77
Takedown avg.
Not available
21%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
43%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.35
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićRaul Castillo
160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
4 (31%)
Submission
2 (29%)
1 (8%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović64%
Raul Castillo 36%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 64% favorite over Raul Castillo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Raul Castillo 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.