Combat Edge Intelligence

Duško Todorović vs Trevor Smith

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevor Smith
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Trevor Smith

“Hot Sauce”

15-10-0MiddleweightUFC

1600Solid

Tale of the tape

13-7-0Record15-10-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
74"Reach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
SecutorTeamRing Demon Jiu-Jitsu

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duško TodorovićNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584
Trevor SmithNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1638 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.73
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
58%
Strike accuracy
56%
4.40
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.31
48%
Strike defense
51%
1.77
Takedown avg.
1.70
21%
Takedown accuracy
32%
43%
Takedown defense
61%
0.35
Submission avg.
0.72

Trajectory

Duško TodorovićTrevor Smith
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (62%)
KO/TKO
1 (7%)
4 (31%)
Submission
9 (60%)
1 (8%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Duško Todorović70%
Trevor Smith 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Duško Todorović a 70% favorite over Trevor Smith in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1600 vs 1600), separated by just 0 points.

Trevor Smith enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Duško Todorović finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Smith 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.