Duane Ludwig vs Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-14-0Record6-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492
If they win+24→ 1531
If they lose-24→ 1483
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Duane LudwigEslam Mostafa Abdel Menem
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem60%
Duane Ludwig 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem a 60% favorite over Duane Ludwig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Duane Ludwig's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1507), separated by just 1 points.
Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Duane Ludwig finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Eslam Mostafa Abdel Menem 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.