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Combat Edge Intelligence

Duane Ludwig vs Genki Sudo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Genki Sudo
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Genki Sudo

“Neo-Samurai”

15-4-2LightweightK-1

1730Good

Tale of the tape

21-14-0Record15-4-2
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamBeverly Hills Jiu-Jitsu Club

What's at stake

Genki Sudo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Duane Ludwig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duane LudwigNow 1508
If they win+25→ 1533
If they lose-7→ 1501
Genki SudoNow 1730
If they win+7→ 1737
If they lose-25→ 1705

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.62
Sig. strikes / min
1.55
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.23
58%
Strike defense
33%
0.43
Takedown avg.
3.58
25%
Takedown accuracy
60%
59%
Takedown defense
50%
0.14
Submission avg.
4.17

Trajectory

Duane LudwigGenki Sudo
150016001700200420052006200720082009201020112012

Win method breakdown

14 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (13%)
2 (10%)
Submission
11 (73%)
5 (24%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Genki Sudo73%
Duane Ludwig 27%Elo baseline: 78%

The Combat Edge model makes Genki Sudo a 73% favorite over Duane Ludwig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).

Genki Sudo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1730 to 1508, a 222-point edge.

Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Genki Sudo enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Duane Ludwig finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Genki Sudo 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.