Duane Ludwig vs Josh Neer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-14-0Record36-16-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamCesar Gracie Fight Team
What's at stake
Josh Neer is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Duane Ludwig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1530
If they lose-10→ 1498
If they win+7→ 1655
If they lose-17→ 1631
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Duane LudwigJosh Neer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Neer72%
Duane Ludwig 28%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Neer a 72% favorite over Duane Ludwig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Josh Neer holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1648 to 1508, a 140-point edge.
Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Neer enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Duane Ludwig finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Josh Neer 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.