Combat Edge Intelligence

Duane Ludwig vs Joshua Onwordi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-14-0Record7-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamBKK Fighters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duane LudwigNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492
Joshua OnwordiNow 1500
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.62
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.43
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.14
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Duane LudwigJoshua Onwordi
1450150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (10%)
Submission
2 (29%)
5 (24%)
Decision
5 (71%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi51%
Duane Ludwig 49%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 51% favorite over Duane Ludwig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Duane Ludwig's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1500), separated by just 8 points.

Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Duane Ludwig finishes 76% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Onwordi 29%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.