Combat Edge Intelligence

Duane Ludwig vs Maiwand Hamras

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

21-14-0Record2-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grudge Training CenterTeamFightlab Munich

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Duane LudwigNow 1508
If they win+16→ 1524
If they lose-16→ 1492
Maiwand HamrasNow 1509
If they win+24→ 1533
If they lose-24→ 1485

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1658 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.62
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
45%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.05
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.43
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
59%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.14
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Duane LudwigMaiwand Hamras
150015502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

14 (67%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
2 (10%)
Submission
2 (100%)
5 (24%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Maiwand Hamras60%
Duane Ludwig 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Maiwand Hamras a 60% favorite over Duane Ludwig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1508 vs 1509), separated by just 1 points.

Duane Ludwig enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Duane Ludwig finishes 76% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.