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Combat Edge Intelligence

Duda Santana vs Nikola Kacperska

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Duda Santana
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Duda Santana

“Cowboyzinha”

3-1-0BantamweightTF

1492Average

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record3-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'5"
73,0"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1517 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamSantiago Training Center

What's at stake

Duda Santana is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +23 while a loss costs more — Nikola Kacperska carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Duda SantanaNow 1492
If they win+23→ 1515
If they lose-25→ 1467
Nikola KacperskaNow 1474
If they win+25→ 1499
If they lose-23→ 1451

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1526 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

6.01
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
40%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.72
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
73%
Strike defense
Not available
6.44
Takedown avg.
Not available
60%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Duda SantanaNikola Kacperska
145015002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (33%)
2 (67%)
Decision
2 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Duda Santana and Nikola Kacperska within a point of even.

Duda Santana holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1492 to 1474, a 18-point edge.

Nikola Kacperska enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Duda Santana finishes 33% of wins inside the distance, Nikola Kacperska 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.