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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dumitru Girlean vs Mitch Clarke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mitch Clarke
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Mitch Clarke

“Danger Zone”

11-5-0LightweightUFC

1600Solid

Tale of the tape

9-4-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'10"
-Reach73,0"
155 lbsWeight154 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dumitru GirleanNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Mitch ClarkeNow 1600
If they win+16→ 1616
If they lose-16→ 1584

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.35
Not available
Strike accuracy
34%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
Not available
Strike defense
48%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.64
Not available
Takedown accuracy
15%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Dumitru GirleanMitch Clarke
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (44%)
KO/TKO
1 (9%)
5 (56%)
Submission
7 (64%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Dumitru Girlean54%
Mitch Clarke 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dumitru Girlean a 54% favorite over Mitch Clarke in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1600), separated by just 1 points.

Mitch Clarke enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dumitru Girlean finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mitch Clarke 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.