Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Hazelett vs Jonathan Goulet

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record23-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamTeam Legion

What's at stake

Dustin Hazelett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Jonathan Goulet carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin HazelettNow 1590
If they win+14→ 1604
If they lose-18→ 1572
Jonathan GouletNow 1553
If they win+13→ 1566
If they lose-11→ 1542

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
1.61
40%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
47%
Strike defense
46%
0.55
Takedown avg.
4.17
50%
Takedown accuracy
70%
25%
Takedown defense
45%
4.14
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Dustin HazelettJonathan Goulet
155016001650200820092010

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
12 (52%)
9 (75%)
Submission
8 (35%)
2 (17%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Hazelett67%
Jonathan Goulet 33%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Hazelett a 67% favorite over Jonathan Goulet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Dustin Hazelett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1590 to 1553, a 37-point edge.

Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Jonathan Goulet 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.