Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Hazelett vs Josh Koscheck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record17-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach73"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamDethrone Base Camp

What's at stake

Josh Koscheck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dustin Hazelett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin HazelettNow 1590
If they win+18→ 1608
If they lose-14→ 1576
Josh KoscheckNow 1644
If they win+10→ 1654
If they lose-14→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1687 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
1.79
40%
Strike accuracy
36%
3.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
47%
Strike defense
63%
0.55
Takedown avg.
2.46
50%
Takedown accuracy
48%
25%
Takedown defense
64%
4.14
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Dustin HazelettJosh Koscheck
160016501700200920102011201220132014201520162017

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
6 (35%)
9 (75%)
Submission
4 (24%)
2 (17%)
Decision
7 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Dustin Hazelett and Josh Koscheck within a point of even.

Josh Koscheck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1590, a 54-point edge.

Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Koscheck enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Josh Koscheck 59%.

Dustin Hazelett and Josh Koscheck share 1 common opponent: Paul Daley.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2010
Paul Daley
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2010