Dustin Hazelett vs Joshua Burkman
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record28-18-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach39,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamThe Pit Elevated Fight Team
What's at stake
Joshua Burkman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dustin Hazelett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1608
If they lose-14→ 1576
If they win+10→ 1654
If they lose-14→ 1630
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1662 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin HazelettJoshua Burkman
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Burkman60%
Dustin Hazelett 40%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 60% favorite over Dustin Hazelett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Joshua Burkman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1590, a 54-point edge.
Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Joshua Burkman 61%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.