Dustin Hazelett vs Paul Daley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record43-18-2
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamSpirit Dojo
What's at stake
Paul Daley is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dustin Hazelett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1612
If they lose-10→ 1580
If they win+8→ 1732
If they lose-16→ 1708
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin HazelettPaul Daley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Daley72%
Dustin Hazelett 28%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Daley a 72% favorite over Dustin Hazelett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Paul Daley holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1724 to 1590, a 134-point edge.
Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Paul Daley 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.