Dustin Hazelett vs Stevie Lynch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record5-2-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeam
What's at stake
Dustin Hazelett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Stevie Lynch carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1601
If they lose-21→ 1569
If they win+32→ 1507
If they lose-16→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1559 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin HazelettStevie Lynch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Hazelett59%
Stevie Lynch 41%Elo baseline: 66%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Hazelett a 59% favorite over Stevie Lynch in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).
Dustin Hazelett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1590 to 1475, a 115-point edge.
Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Stevie Lynch 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.