Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Hazelett vs Tamdan McCrory

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-7-0Record14-5-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'4"
TBDReach78,0"
155 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamCNY MMA

What's at stake

Tamdan McCrory is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dustin Hazelett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin HazelettNow 1590
If they win+18→ 1608
If they lose-14→ 1576
Tamdan McCroryNow 1642
If they win+14→ 1656
If they lose-18→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.07
40%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.51
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.60
47%
Strike defense
47%
0.55
Takedown avg.
2.28
50%
Takedown accuracy
50%
25%
Takedown defense
33%
4.14
Submission avg.
2.47

Trajectory

Dustin HazelettTamdan McCrory
16001650170020092010201120122013201420152016

Win method breakdown

1 (8%)
KO/TKO
8 (57%)
9 (75%)
Submission
5 (36%)
2 (17%)
Decision
1 (7%)

Combat Edge model read

Tamdan McCrory70%
Dustin Hazelett 30%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Tamdan McCrory a 70% favorite over Dustin Hazelett in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Tamdan McCrory holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1642 to 1590, a 52-point edge.

Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Tamdan McCrory enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tamdan McCrory 93%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.