Dustin Hazelett vs Tony DeSouza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-7-0Record11-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
Team Jorge GurgelTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
Tony DeSouza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Dustin Hazelett carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1609
If they lose-13→ 1577
If they win+13→ 1670
If they lose-19→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1621 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1555 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin HazelettTony DeSouza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Hazelett56%
Tony DeSouza 44%Elo baseline: 40%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Hazelett a 56% favorite over Tony DeSouza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tony DeSouza's way (40%).
Tony DeSouza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1657 to 1590, a 67-point edge.
Dustin Hazelett enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dustin Hazelett finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Tony DeSouza 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.