Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Jacoby vs Elmar Gasanov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Jacoby
us

Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-10-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

22-10-1Record12-2-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'1"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamSparta

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin JacobyNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Elmar GasanovNow 1693
If they win+16→ 1709
If they lose-16→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
48%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
0.32
Takedown avg.
TBD
13%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
62%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dustin JacobyElmar Gasanov
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (68%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (5%)
Submission
1 (8%)
6 (27%)
Decision
8 (67%)

Combat Edge model read

Elmar Gasanov56%
Dustin Jacoby 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Elmar Gasanov a 56% favorite over Dustin Jacoby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Jacoby's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1693), separated by just 2 points.

Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Elmar Gasanov 33%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.