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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Jacoby vs Jake O'Brien

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dustin Jacoby
us

Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-10-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1695Good

Tale of the tape

22-10-1Record15-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeamIntegrated Fighting Academy

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin JacobyNow 1695
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Jake O'BrienNow 1692
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1588 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
1.32
48%
Strike accuracy
32%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.93
58%
Strike defense
69%
0.32
Takedown avg.
6.44
13%
Takedown accuracy
57%
62%
Takedown defense
25%
0
Submission avg.
0.21

Trajectory

Dustin JacobyJake O'Brien
165017002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (68%)
KO/TKO
7 (47%)
1 (5%)
Submission
3 (20%)
6 (27%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Jacoby73%
Jake O'Brien 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 73% favorite over Jake O'Brien in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1692), separated by just 3 points.

Jake O'Brien enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Jake O'Brien 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.