Dustin Jacoby vs Justin Ledet
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record9-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Factory XTeam
What's at stake
Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Justin Ledet carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1704
If they lose-15→ 1680
If they win+20→ 1622
If they lose-12→ 1590
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobyJustin Ledet
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby79%
Justin Ledet 21%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 79% favorite over Justin Ledet in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1602, a 93-point edge.
Justin Ledet enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Justin Ledet 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.