Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Jacoby vs Max Grishin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Dustin Jacoby
us

Dustin Jacoby

“The Hanyak”

22-10-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1695Good
Max Grishin
ru

Max Grishin

“Drago”

38-10-0HeavyweightRCC

1540Average

Tale of the tape

22-10-1Record38-10-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'7"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight258 lbs
Factory XTeamStrela Team

What's at stake

Dustin Jacoby is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Max Grishin carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin JacobyNow 1695
If they win+7→ 1702
If they lose-17→ 1678
Max GrishinNow 1540
If they win+34→ 1574
If they lose-14→ 1526

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1654 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.40
Sig. strikes / min
3.26
48%
Strike accuracy
53%
3.92
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.27
58%
Strike defense
59%
0.32
Takedown avg.
0.21
13%
Takedown accuracy
17%
62%
Takedown defense
67%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dustin JacobyMax Grishin
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

15 (68%)
KO/TKO
24 (63%)
1 (5%)
Submission
4 (11%)
6 (27%)
Decision
10 (26%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Jacoby79%
Max Grishin 21%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 79% favorite over Max Grishin in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Dustin Jacoby holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1695 to 1540, a 155-point edge.

Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Max Grishin 74%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.