Dustin Jacoby vs Ricardo Arona
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record14-5-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height5'11"
76"ReachTBD
205 lbsWeight200 lbs
Factory XTeamBrazilian Top Team· 1657 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobyRicardo Arona
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby70%
Ricardo Arona 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 70% favorite over Ricardo Arona in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ricardo Arona's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1697), separated by just 2 points.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Ricardo Arona 36%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.