Dustin Jacoby vs Sharaf Davlatmurodov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Dustin Jacoby65%
Sharaf Davlatmurodov 35%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Jacoby a 65% favorite over Sharaf Davlatmurodov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1695), separated by just 0 points.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Sharaf Davlatmurodov 67%.
Dustin Jacoby carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record20-6-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height5'11"
76"Reach73.5"
205 lbsWeight186 lbs
Factory XTeamStrela Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1581 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobySharaf Davlatmurodov