Dustin Jacoby vs Will Fleury
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-10-1Record17-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
76"Reach77"
205 lbsWeight238 lbs
Factory X· avg 1663 EloTeamSBG Ireland· avg 1632 Elo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1707
If they lose-12→ 1683
If they win+16→ 1708
If they lose-16→ 1676
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1701 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dustin JacobyWill Fleury
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Will Fleury59%
Dustin Jacoby 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Will Fleury a 59% favorite over Dustin Jacoby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Jacoby's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1695 vs 1692), separated by just 3 points.
Dustin Jacoby finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Will Fleury 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.