Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Kimura vs Francesco Nuzzi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'3"
TBDReach69"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin KimuraNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Francesco NuzziNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1517 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
21%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.93
Takedown avg.
TBD
38%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
2.18
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dustin KimuraFrancesco Nuzzi
165017002013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
8 (73%)
Submission
3 (27%)
1 (9%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Francesco Nuzzi63%
Dustin Kimura 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Francesco Nuzzi a 63% favorite over Dustin Kimura in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dustin Kimura's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1661), separated by just 0 points.

Dustin Kimura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Kimura finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Francesco Nuzzi 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.