Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Kimura vs Jon delos Reyes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record8-5-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach67,0"
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamCountershot MMA

What's at stake

Dustin Kimura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Jon delos Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dustin KimuraNow 1661
If they win+11→ 1672
If they lose-21→ 1640
Jon delos ReyesNow 1560
If they win+21→ 1581
If they lose-11→ 1549

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1542 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
2.99
21%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
52%
Strike defense
52%
0.93
Takedown avg.
3.20
38%
Takedown accuracy
83%
50%
Takedown defense
56%
2.18
Submission avg.
1.92

Trajectory

Dustin KimuraJon delos Reyes
1550160016501700201320142015

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
8 (73%)
Submission
5 (63%)
1 (9%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Dustin Kimura72%
Jon delos Reyes 28%Elo baseline: 64%

The Combat Edge model makes Dustin Kimura a 72% favorite over Jon delos Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).

Dustin Kimura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1560, a 101-point edge.

Dustin Kimura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Kimura finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Jon delos Reyes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.