Combat Edge Intelligence

Dustin Kimura vs Santiago Luna

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
TBDReach74"
136 lbsWeight145 lbs
Gracie TechnicsTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dustin KimuraNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Santiago LunaNow 1662
If they win+24→ 1686
If they lose-24→ 1638

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1566 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.33
Sig. strikes / min
8.20
21%
Strike accuracy
55%
3.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.82
52%
Strike defense
72%
0.93
Takedown avg.
4.21
38%
Takedown accuracy
83%
50%
Takedown defense
50%
2.18
Submission avg.
0.84

Trajectory

Dustin KimuraSantiago Luna
155016001650170020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (38%)
8 (73%)
Submission
4 (50%)
1 (9%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Santiago Luna70%
Dustin Kimura 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Santiago Luna a 70% favorite over Dustin Kimura in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Dustin Kimura enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Dustin Kimura finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Santiago Luna 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.